SamNav
SamNav Archive 2015 Technology predictions
SA-2015-03 · Entry 0060Public essay

Technology predictions

The post explores the challenges and inaccuracies of making technology predictions, highlighting historical examples where experts have misjudged technological advancements. It emphasizes the unpredictability of innovation and the tendency of even knowledgeable individuals to underestimate future developments, suggesting a cautious approach to forecasting in the tech realm.

Published 2015-03-03 1 min read 201 words 3 topics
Before you set out 3/5 Navigation SeverityCartographic IncidentThe route is real, but the signage gets weird enough to deserve a field note.
Excerpt · opening linespulled from source
Some of these are probably apocryphal, but making predictions about the limits of technology is really hard: Space travel is utter bilge. - Dr. Richard van der Reit Wooley, space advisor to the British government, 1956 C
SamNav stores no post bodies. Only enough to orient you - the rest lives at the source.
Original source
Read the full essay on Sam Altman's blog
blog.samaltman.com/technology-predictions
Opens the original in a new tab · last reachable 2026-06-05
Go to source